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Daily updates during the 2018 FIFA World Cup

As always during the FIFA World Cup, the Norwegian Computing Center will daily consider the chances of every team participating in the championship, based on a probability model.

Before FIFA 2018, the probability model is a synthesis of 13 football experts. As FIFA 2018 progresses, the model is more and more governed by the actual matches and less and less from the experts.

We present probabilities for each group, for the knockout stage and for who will win the World Cup.

The probabilities will be updated continuously here at vm.nr.no.